🏁 NASCAR H2H Edge Console
Choose event + matchup, paste book odds, and get fair odds, edge, EV, confidence tier, and suggested stake.
Tier A+: ≥60%
Tier A: 58-59.9%
Tier B: 55-57.9%
Tier C: 52-54.9%
Quick Driver Lines
Fair value for one driver versus the full field
Top Model Matchups (by confidence)
Kalshi Yes/No Fair Pricing
Winner and Top 3 / Top 5 / Top 10 model fair prices for every driver.
Manual market-making view; no orders are placed from this page.
Quote Guard
3c/6c edge
Winner / Top-k
Every Driver Yes/No Board
Model fair cents, plus conservative maker bands around fair.
Weekly Tracking
Book vs model tracking, flat $100 units and tier-sized units
Market Snapshot
Coverage and current board context for the selected race and book snapshot
Results Summary
Settled performance for the selected snapshot using flat and tier-sized staking
CLV Buckets
Settled bets grouped by whether the line moved in our favor, stayed flat, or moved against us
Tier Buckets
Settled performance grouped by bet tier for the selected snapshot
Steam Chase
Projected results if we add at the later price only when the line moved toward our original side
Recommended Bets
A-grade favorites surfaced from the selected snapshot
Strategy Rule
A-grade favorites
Current best-fit bucket
All Uploaded Lines
Use this to compare Circa's no-vig fair view to the model on every matchup
Group Results Summary
Settled performance for recommended group runners using flat and tier-sized staking
All Group Projections
Model probability, fair odds, edge, EV, and fit diagnostics for each runner
Prop EV
Race winner-derived props
Props Board
Model probability, fair odds, edge, and EV from the race winner projection
Top 3 / Top 5 / Top 10
Rank-calibrated finish props
Model Fair Prices
Rank-calibrated probabilities from the current race fair matrix
Market Comparisons
Only appears after top-k book odds are loaded into the prop pricer
Uploaded Bets
Browser OCR upload, local bet store, and settled performance by race
No screenshots uploaded yet.
Bet Summary
Actual uploaded bets, actual risked dollars, and settled race results
Turn-In Copy
Copy-ready format for uploaded bets
Uses stored ticket data for the selected race.
Performance Buckets
Settled results by parsed bet market for the selected race
Race Winner + Props
Pending
Bet Ledger
Uploaded OCR bets for the selected race
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